Chapter 49 be used to calculate amounts?
"Manager?" Liang Haiyuan, who was standing closest to him, was startled by his subtle movement and looked at him with a puzzled expression.
Su Hao seemed to be frozen in place, his fingers hovering over the paper, his eyes suddenly narrowing!
This feeling... he knew it all too well!
Every time this feeling occurred, it meant that... some kind of "intuition" of his had been triggered!
This time, the stinging sensation, like a weak electric current, pointed to only one result—
That thing that countless economists, analysts, and investment banking gurus have so confidently asserted, claiming it has a mere 3% probability of happening, is almost negligible, and is absolutely impossible...
Greece defaults on its debt!
It's really coming!
It seems that the Greek politicians, who are in a state of utter panic, have truly been driven to the brink and are determined to do something that will go down in history and be earth-shattering!
Su Hao slowly raised his head, meeting the dozen or so pairs of eyes in the conference room that were filled with doubt, tension, or anticipation. His tone was frighteningly calm, yet carried an undeniable certainty:
"I think... that 3% probability is the only truth."
"What? 3%...you mean..."
"You...you really think... Greece...will explode? This...this..."
Several traders with weaker mental fortitude gasped in shock, feeling the hairs on the back of their heads stand on end, a chill running from the soles of their feet straight to their heads!
Su Hao nodded slowly and solemnly.
affim!
In an instant, a chorus of gasps, as if they had seen a ghost, erupted in the conference room!
"That's strange," Su Hao asked, pointing to the report. "Why doesn't this report mention any hedging tools like options that can be used to short sell?"
Liu Bo, with a bitter and helpless expression, shrugged:
"Oh, well... Manager, have you forgotten? That last big drop scared the market half to death."
He didn't finish his sentence, but his meaning was clear:
During the last dramatic market downturn, the major securities firms and funds that issued put options were severely burned by Su Hao; it was a bloodbath!
According to insider rumors, their Seventh Department's one brilliant operation alone squeezed nearly 20 times the profit out of some unfortunate people—it was utterly ruthless!
Anyone who gets ripped off would be so angry they'd vomit blood!
In the short term, who would dare to open a "short-selling lottery" betting platform with such huge risk exposure, which could very well be giving money away to others?
He sighed and continued:
"Not only options derivatives, but even ETFs that track major European stock indices have basically disappeared from the market now."
The last major crash sent global risk assets into a panic, and market risk appetite plummeted to rock bottom.
These high-risk products simply don't sell. When publishers see they can't sell them, they simply remove them from the shelves and liquidate them to avoid being stuck with them.
Su Hao frowned slightly.
"That's a lot of money, 250 million, that sounds terrifying."
But there were only a few tables where betting could be done...
The domestic market is hampered, and the derivatives market has been scared into closing down...
It seems the only option is to venture into the vast, deep ocean.
His mind raced, and he quickly made a decision, asking:
"The foreign exchange market, it must be big enough, right? It should be able to easily handle our 250 million order, right?"
Foreign exchange trading market!
What kind of concept is that?
The crown jewel of the global financial market!
Daily trading volume reaches a staggering $6 trillion!
Note that it's in US dollars!
Converted to RMB, that's close to... 40 trillion!
It was followed by a long string of dizzying zeros!
It can be described as the largest and most liquid behemoth in the global financial market!
There is none other than this!
In that market, which was like a vast ocean, their 250 million RMB...
To put it bluntly, if you threw it in, it probably wouldn't even make a slightly larger ripple; it would be nothing more than... a drizzle!
"Uh, Manager, theoretically that's correct... The capacity of the foreign exchange market is definitely not a problem. But the problem is... Manager, our department, according to regulations, does not have the authority to directly conduct foreign exchange transactions!"
Liu Bo, however, showed a troubled expression.
"The company has a dedicated foreign exchange trading department; they are the professionals. This matter… requires cross-departmental coordination, and it must be approved by the head of the trading department, and may even require special approval from higher-level management! The process is quite complicated."
"If the leader approves, can we proceed?" Su Hao pressed.
"It should be feasible! After all, there have been precedents in special circumstances before," Liu Bo replied confidently.
"For example, if there is a major international event and there is a genuine business need, the higher-ups will make special arrangements and temporarily approve us to conduct some necessary foreign exchange or overseas stock transactions. However, the approval process will be very strict."
Su Hao nodded, understanding dawning on his mind.
It seems that relying on lower-level staff to communicate with people is not going to work; it's too inefficient.
He had to personally go to the top boss of their trading department—
Director Li Jian, who is said to value rules quite a bit, had a frank and open conversation with us.
"So... we'll just give up on the domestic market for now?" someone asked.
"We can't just sit here and wait until we get the foreign exchange permit, can we? We still have to get things done here in China." Su Hao shook his head.
"Manager... on the domestic side, how about we reduce the amount a little? Just to be on the safe side..."
Liang Haiyuan became worried again and couldn't help but offer his advice.
"Let me ask you something," Su Hao interrupted him, asking calmly, "Even if we are being monitored by the exchange, will it necessarily lead to punishment?"
"Uh... that's not absolute. As long as we don't do what those manipulation cases did before, like drastically reducing trading volume before the market closes or dumping more than 10% of the volume on a single stock... we generally just focus on key stocks."
Liang Haiyuan answered honestly.
"But the problem is, even if the 250 million is bought in installments, it still comes from the same account, so they will definitely keep an eye on it."
Su Hao nodded and said nothing more.
He picked up a pen and looked again at the list of stocks recommended by the research department.
He needs to filter out targets that may rise or fall based on the premise of " Greece defaulting".
He gently touched the first name with the tip of his pen.
'This...feels...something's not right.'
The fingertips remained completely still.
——Pass.
'This...hmm, there's potential! The signal is very strong!'
The pen tip touched the paper, trembled slightly, and a tingling sensation returned.
——Check!
And so, he followed the analysis of the " Greece default" scenario in the research department's report, combined with his mysterious "intuition".
The plan is to short stocks that are expected to fall and go long on stocks that are expected to rise.
"Um...Manager, how are the funds planned to be allocated?"
This is the truly chilling question.
How can 250 million be allocated to these different stocks?
They need to maximize profits while avoiding crossing regulatory red lines as much as possible, so as to avoid being reprimanded by the bigwigs of the Securities Regulatory Commission.
The timing and intensity of this process were something even the experienced Liang Haiyuan, let alone these lowly soldiers, were unsure about.
"Hold on."
Looking at the list, Su Hao suddenly had a bold idea.
—Can this "superpower" be used to calculate amounts?